Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 54.207719 62.029276 70.071085 78.922178 88.356784 98.081416 108.831716
2026-01-11 41.901573 52.954383 64.894729 78.605130 93.776465 109.929081 128.309270
2026-01-18 34.380596 47.057826 61.286917 78.134151 97.260581 118.059748 142.160491
2026-01-25 29.179969 43.008808 59.073011 78.596751 101.230987 126.259612 155.667747
2026-02-01 24.469894 38.923317 56.298519 77.946778 103.530129 132.243584 166.391900
2026-02-08 20.864646 35.769283 54.281172 77.872344 106.225628 138.455518 177.176803
2026-02-15 17.465653 32.485673 51.793626 76.965259 107.719542 143.105206 186.023452
2026-02-22 15.382869 30.735207 51.056375 78.044822 111.451246 150.251898 197.654780
2026-03-01 13.706350 29.362581 50.667601 79.444921 115.480703 157.681040 209.561235
2026-03-08 11.420887 26.825595 48.542921 78.491663 116.517521 161.480918 217.161039
2026-03-15 9.228173 24.138353 46.009830 76.848099 116.571725 164.008129 223.181680
2026-03-22 8.705213 24.092290 47.122342 79.948182 122.524239 173.603595 237.538986
2026-03-29 7.785945 23.286506 47.119909 81.573050 126.655028 181.059565 249.449139
2026-04-05 6.429116 21.516648 45.603169 81.086780 128.056942 185.173044 257.366441
2026-04-12 5.261538 19.894614 44.182124 80.637201 129.434739 189.203704 265.141476
2026-04-19 4.434483 18.794374 43.469475 81.102518 131.948433 194.598543 274.533204
2026-04-26 3.507419 17.284001 42.007470 80.442157 132.940829 198.074241 281.579529
2026-05-03 2.809188 16.116822 41.003297 80.366243 134.653854 202.412292 289.646313
2026-05-10 2.095701 14.689689 39.462387 79.443252 135.191933 205.244861 295.852998
2026-05-17 1.743426 14.127391 39.332001 80.541768 138.403735 211.418789 306.130411
2026-05-24 1.471733 13.720160 39.436346 81.966281 142.042073 218.125635 317.060931
2026-05-31 1.008751 12.473896 37.970186 80.996422 142.409323 220.670048 322.863765
2026-06-07 0.597055 11.071555 36.093355 79.324023 141.762048 221.882983 326.993032